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The Brazilian Bubble Argument

Full of hot air?


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AUGUST, 2011

In the midst of the Brazilian economy´s continuing surge – it grew 7.5% in 2010, its highest rate of growth in twenty-five years, and is forecast to grow another 4% this year – some skeptics have emerged warning of an overheating system and a swelling bubble poised to burst.  They are particularly concerned with the soaring real estate prices in São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro and a booming middle-income housing market fueled by unprecedented levels of consumer credit being dispensed to the enormous and growing middle class.   Paul Marshall, the CEO of Marshall Wace, has been perhaps the most prominent and vociferous skeptic; in columns published in the Fina.....




 
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